The trading volume on the leading prediction markets platforms, Polymarket and Kalshi, has hit a new record high, surpassing ...

Prediction markets hit record trading volume. Bets on who will become the next mayor of New York City are helping drive the ...

Prediction markets went absolutely parabolic last quarter. Kalshi and Polymarket just posted record-shattering numbers in the ...

Bloomberg News is also tracking how prediction markets ... incentives to fix mistakes. Presidential margins for 2024 are shown only for states that have counted at least 95% of their estimated vote ...

Tomorrow is Election Day and if the predictions are accurate, we can expect an extremely close outcome. In fact, The Economist’s Intelligence Unit (EIU) predicts a 70% probability there will be a ...

As prediction markets gain mainstream traction, one researcher believes their straightforward design may help them become the ...

Psychologists pulled off what political pundits and polls failed to do: predict the 2024 presidential election winner. Before a single ballot was cast in 2024, researchers at the University of ...

It’s not a presidential election year, or even the midterms, but races this fall will offer a sense of voters’ moods in the ...

A legal case questioning the accuracy of the 2024 election is moving forward. SMART Legislation, the action arm of SMART Elections, a nonpartisan watchdog group, filed the lawsuit over voting ...