The first week after the time change. If I miss all of my picks this week, that's why. Turning the clock back and getting an extra hour of sleep sounds great in theory, but in reality, there is NO extra sleep for anyone in my house because I live with two kids under the age of five who don't believe in time changes.

The Panthers proved against the Packers that they can be a playoff team – and Rico Dowdle has three games with 100 or more rushing yards in the last five weeks. The Saints allow 129.4 rushing yards per game, too. Carolina is 3-1 S/U at home this season.