During the COVID-19 pandemic, most Americans received multiple stimulus checks to relieve the financial pressure caused by the pandemic-related closures. These checks helped people to stabilize their finances and avoid financial disaster in the wake of closed businesses and mass layoffs.

Traders on the prediction platform Kalshi are signaling deep doubt that Americans will receive any form of new stimulus checks

President Donald Trump has repeatedly floated the idea of sending Americans a $2,000 check funded by revenue from tariffs, but don’t expect that money to arrive before the holidays.