Bettors on prediction betting sites, such as Polymarket and Kalshi, appear skeptical about the likelihood of $2,000 checks any time soon.

Don’t spend that money just yet! Rumors are circulating online that the federal government will issue new stimulus checks before the end of the year. But Congress has not passed any legislation authorizing payments,

Thanksgiving stimulus rumors claim Americans will get $2,000 before the holidays, but no law is passed and the IRS confirms no federal payments in November 2025. The proposal tied to tariff dividends remains unapproved,

No new federal stimulus checks are authorized for November 2025; Congress has not passed any new legislation, and the IRS has made no confirmation. President Donald Trump has proposed using tariff revenue to pay a dividend of at least $2,000 per person (excluding high-income individuals), but this is currently just a proposal.