A disturbance in the Atlantic is likely to become a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Melissa this week as it heads into the Caribbean, the National Hurricane Center said.

A new tropical storm could form in the Atlantic this week and continue the 2025 hurricane season’s backloaded burst of tropical activity. Even though fewer storms tend to form now, in the late-season, history has shown how devastating they can be, particularly since development areas shift closer to land.

The National Hurricane Center currently gives both disturbances a low chance of developing anytime soon. As of 2 p.m. Friday, the disturbance nearest to the Caribbean had no chance of strengthening into a tropical depression or stronger in the next two days and a 30% chance of formation within the next seven days.

AccuWeather said that while 1-2 inches of rain could impact a broad zone of the Caribbean including San Juan, Puerto Rico, downpours easily surpassing a foot will likely drench portions of Hispaniola, including Haiti as well as Cuba and Jamaica.

Following last week’s three confirmed tornadoes, I figured we should continue the conversation for this week’s WEATHER WEDNESDAY and specifically explore the