– Israel’s projected GDP growth of 3.8% appears to support stability in Netanyahu’s administration. – Market pricing suggests ...

Aoun opens to talks with Israel for a ceasefire despite Hezbollah's opposition. Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon by April 30, ...

Pentagon excludes Anthropic from AI deals over safety disputes. Anthropic providing Mythos to US government by April 30, 2026 ...

Stewart joins US envoy team, reducing hopes for Iran talks. Diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30 at 0.1% YES.

Iranian strikes hit 16 US military sites, causing billions in damage. Iranian strikes against Israel by April 30, 2026 at 100 ...

Thirteen killed in Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 9.5% YES.

US withdraws troops from Germany, signaling de-escalation in Iran strategy. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 100% NO.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% in the last 24 hours. Activity ...

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% 24 hours ago. The Russia x ...

Israeli army issues new evacuation warnings in southern Lebanon. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

The weakening of Iran’s rial appears to suggest increased interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against geopolitical instability. – ...

Olli Rehn signals a hawkish stance on ECB policy, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut in April 2026. Rate cut at April 2026 ...